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May 9, 2023Liked by Herb Greenberg

The "voting machine" can render the "weighing machine" for extended periods of time....but eventually, the weighing machine takes its measure!

Wonderful piece!

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Easy for investors to see the rising stock of a crummy company as validation that the company isn't crummy. Even if it is, until the stock figures out, out, which often happens when reality clashes with hype, hope and hubris.

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Gee, I kinda like Top Golf .. I'm a non-golfer, I think they call us hackers. It's a great place for work cartharsis - whacking those little white orbs to relieve the job stress. It is fun.

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I get it. A lot of people liked Dave & Buster's, too. This is the data. It's not always 100%, but simply good to know if you're investor what might go against you.

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And you should continue to love Top Golf!

But the stock? Maybe that requires a deep dive into the financials before loving on that too :)

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!

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May 9, 2023Liked by Herb Greenberg

Yeah, I'm not an investor here. Entertainment stocks are subject to discretionary spending, and the environment right now doesn't lend well to discretionary spending.

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MODG is scaling their Top Golf business with leverage. I mean, if that's a red flag to you then you can see it that way. But it's part of the known strategy since they acquired Top Golf, which is growing EBITDA 36% y/y while the stock trades without any growth premium. And as you mentioned , they will be cash flow positive and leverage will top off. Company has three separate segments so I wonder if this professor's metrics would make more sense if it was applied to each segment separately

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The data is the data, but the interpretation of that is is also what makes markets. Thanks for the comment.

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